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Deep & Emerging Tech·July 13, 2026·1 min read

Decoupling from China would cost the West $23.6tn

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A $23.6T price tag over 25 years for decoupling from China means “de-risking” is not a free hedge—it’s a generational capex decision that will hit advanced manufacturing and tech supply chains hardest. If your roadmap depends on Chinese components, fabs, or demand, you need explicit scenarios for partial decoupling, not just a line in the risk register.

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