Garry Tan says turning down Peter Thiel's early offer to join Palantir was a $2-4 billion 'mistake'
THE SO WHAT
Tan framing a career decision as a $2–4B miss is a reminder that early startup equity is a power-law lottery, not a deterministic plan. Founders and early operators should optimize for learning and network in high-variance environments rather than trying to backward-engineer the perfect “Palantir moment.”
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