J.P. Morgan lifts its S&P 500 target to 7,800 but warns that a ‘flash crash’ remains a risk
THE SO WHAT
Macro desks are admitting they mispriced earnings momentum while still flagging fragility in market structure. For operators, that means equity-financed plans look better on paper, but you should stress-test liquidity and covenant headroom against a sharp, temporary drawdown.
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Ballmer’s iPhone quote is a useful calibration: incumbents routinely misprice new interaction models. As AI-native interfaces emerge, assume your own intuition is similarly biased toward current distribution and monetization patterns—instrument user behavior, don’t rely on gut.