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Tech & Innovation·June 26, 2026·1 min read

Fed’s Kashkari projects one interest-rate hike this year. Here’s what changed his mind.

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Macro is now explicitly tying AI capex and geopolitical risk — U.S.-Iran tensions plus the AI buildout — to potential rate hikes. If you’re planning large data center, chip, or infra spend, model a higher-for-longer cost of capital rather than betting on rapid easing.